NORTHEAST MICHIGAN
Environmental Scan:Broad Environment
Demographics
The demographics for the Northeast Region
of Michigan are presented on a county by county basis with comparison to
the eight county region as a whole, as well as to the state and nation.
Due to the timing of this report the last available demographic census
information is 1990, more recent demographic information is estimated and
should be reviewed and updated when the 2000 census data becomes available.
Population Trends [See Appendix
A, Tables 1-4 for supporting data]
Understanding of the general population
trends is an essential component of fully understanding our community,
where we have been, where we are now and possibilities for the future.
Population characteristics play a role in the human resource programs provided
or needed in an area and have significant implications for the current
and future employment and training programs. An area’s population size
and age distribution are major factors impacting its labor supply.
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The area's 1998 population was 134,847 or
1.4 percent of the state's population. The area's population grew by over
19,000 between 1980 and 1998.Almost sixty-three percent of this growth
occurred between 1990 and 1998.
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Otsego County has experienced the greatest
population increase, between 1990 and 1998, of the eight counties
in northeast Michigan, at 23.2 percent.
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Alpena County was the only county in the Region
to experience a population loss between 1990 and 1998.
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Eight counties comprise the Northeast Michigan
Works Agency region (MWA), with Alpena the most populated (30,405 or 22.5
percent) and Oscoda the least populated (8,882 or 6.6 percent).
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The Northeast MWA's racial profile is majority
white (98.4 percent) with Native Americans comprising the largest minority
group at nearly one percent.
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The population distribution by sex by county
is fairly even, ranging from 48.3 percent male in Cheboygan County to 51.2
percent male in Crawford County.Over the eight county region, 49.1 percent
of the population is male as compared with 48.5 percent across the state.
(1990 Census data).

Overall, the northern portion of the lower
peninsula of Michigan remains a fast growing area.While the northeast region
is not growing at the same rate as the northwest, much of the area is growing
at rate greater than the state and national averages.
Age Distribution Changes [See
Appendix A, Tables 3-4 for supporting data]
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All eight counties in Northeast Michigan
experienced decreases in percent population in the following age groups
between 1990 and 1996:
o< 5 years of age
o18-24 years of age
o24-44 years of age
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All eight counties in Northeast Michigan
experienced increases in the percent of population in the following age
groups between 1990 and 1996:
o 5-17 years of age
o all age groups greater than 45 years of age
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Median age in each of the eight counties in
the Region is above the state median age of 32.6 (1990 Census data), ranging
from 33.7 in Otsego to 44.8 in Alcona.
Housing Characteristics [See
Appendix A, Tables 5-7 for supporting data]
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The percent of owner occupied dwellings is
highest for Alpena County (64.1%) and lowest in Oscoda County (31.9%).
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The percent of vacant or seasonal dwelling
units is significantly higher in Northeast Michigan (49.1%) than for the
state as a whole (24.4%).
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Oscoda, Alcona and Montmorency have the greatest
number of vacant or seasonal housing units (61%, 59.1%and 59% respectively,
compared to 24.4 percent statewide).
Residential Building Permits
[See Appendix A, Table 6 for supporting data]
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Otsego had the greatest number of new dwelling
units in the region in both 1990 and 1997, consistent with the increasing
population (213 d.u. and 224 d.u. respectively).
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Oscoda County had the lowest number of new
dwellings in both years, (49 d.u and 76 d.u. respectively)
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Alpena County experienced positive growth
in new dwelling units in both 1990 (62 d.u.) and 1997 (120 d.u.), despite
a loss in total population.
Income, Poverty and Education
[See Appendix A, Tables 9-10 for supporting data]
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The household and per capita incomes across
the region are significantly below the state-wide figures. The per capita
income levels for the Counties in NE Michigan range from 61-80% of the
State level.
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Only Otsego County had a comparable 1995 household
income with the state as a whole, and has shown a significant increase
since 1990.(1995-Otsego: 35,935, State: 35,940; 1990-Otsego:26,356)
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Montmorency County has the lowest household
income at 66% of the State average.
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Poverty percentages typically decreased in
the Counties across Northeast Michigan between 1989 and 1995, however Alpena
and Crawford Counties experienced slight rises. (Alpena 1990: 13.5%,1995:
13.7%; Crawford 1990: 14.6%, 1995: 14.9%)
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With the exception of Otsego County, the Northeast
Region has in the past, and continues to experience higher rates of poverty
than that of the State as a whole.
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Educational attainment level are typically
lower in Northeast Michigan than for the State as a whole.
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Otsego County is the only county in the region
which exceeds the state average for percent of population having graduated
from high school or higher.(Otsego County 79.5% compared 76.3% statewide)
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None of the counties in the region exceed
the state average for percent of population having earned a bachelors degree
or higher, the numbers range from 7.9% (Oscoda) holding a bachelors degree
or greater to 13.7 % (Otsego) compared with 17.4% across the state. (1990
Census data).
Transportation [See Appendix
A, Table7 for supporting data]
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Within the region, 2,913 occupied households
do not have a vehicle available. The numbers range from 165 households
(3.9%) in Alcona County to 814 households (6.9%) in Alpena County.
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Public transportation options are extremely
limited within the Region. A few of the counties are served by dial-a-ride
service, but no coordinated region-wide transportation system is currently
available.
The demographics for the Northeast
Region of Michigan are presented on a county by county basis with comparison
to the eight county region as a whole, as well as to the state and nation.
Due to the timing of this report the last available demographic census
information is 1990, more recent demographic information is estimated and
should be reviewed and updated when the 2000 census data becomes available.
Economic and Business Conditions
Labor Force [See Appendix A, Tables
11-15 for supporting data]
Changes in the size of the civilian labor
force and its component parts of employed and unemployed follow trends
in population and economic development.Labor force information can be used
by human resource planners to gauge the number of individuals experiencing
unemployment problems and to increase the esponsiveness of training programs
to changing conditions. Strong labor force growth rates are increasingly
important to ensure adequate local labor
supply.
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Labor force has increased 19.8 percent between
1990-1998 in the MWA.Otsego County recorded the largest numeric (3,925)
as well as the highest growth rate (50 percent) increase.
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The unemployment rate has declined steadily
from 1992 through 1998.The 1996 rate of 9.4 percent was the first single-digit
annual rate recorded this decade.
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The unemployment rate increased slightly in
seven of the eight counties in the Region from 1998 to 1999, only Alpena
decreased, at the same time the state rate decreased slightly.
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The month average unemployment rates reveal
a distinct difference between summer and winter rates for many counties
within the Region.For the five years 1995 through 1999, Cheboygan has experienced
greater than 20 percent unemployment in the winter and as low as two percent
(July of 1998).
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A relatively lower area labor force participation
rate than statewide suggests the potential for greater area labor force
expansion.
Labor Supply [See Appendix
A, Tables 16-18 for supporting data]
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Two major components of local area labor supply
(total unemployed and school graduates) reflect a decline. This may result
in an increasing shortage of workers in certain occupational classifications.
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The number of local area unemployed has continued
to decline.Between 1997-1998, the number unemployed has declined by 325
or 6.2 percent.
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Based on data from the Michigan Department
of Education, the number of graduates from the Northeast Lower Michigan
MWA high schools, colleges and universities has increased slightly from
academic year 1996-1997 to 1997-1998.
Industrial Employment
[See Appendix A, Tables 19-22 for supporting data]
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Local jobs are concentrated in retail trade,
services, government, manufacturing and construction.
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The local area employment structure reflects
a significantly higher proportion of government, retail trade and construction
and mining jobs than statewide.
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The largest employers in the counties of Northeast
Michigan are predominantly education, government, health care and tourism-related.
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The five-year trend shows a slight decrease
in the number of service sector jobs. Government and transportation, communication
and utilities experienced a significant loss in their relative share.
Occupational Outlook [See
Appendix A, Tables 23-30 for supporting data]
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Projections for the managerial, professional
and technical groups, which have a large concentration of workers requiring
post-secondary training or a college education, show faster than average
rates of growth.
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The level of job openings will be highest
among service occupations, with 445 openings annually.
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The total 4,180 jobs, expected to be added
to the Northeast Michigan economy between 1996 and 2006, represent a growth
rate of 7.3 percent.
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The local wages in Northeast Michigan continue
to be significantly below the state or national averages for most occupations.
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“High Growth, High Openings, High Wage” occupations
are shown to be high growth rates, however due to low number of persons
in those fields in the region, these growth rates translate into relatively
low annual openings for new jobs.
Education and Training [See
Appendix B for supporting data]
Extensive education and training opportunities
are available throughout the region. The graduation rates are increasing,
as are the number of people earning GED or high school diplomas through
adult education programs. The education and training opportunities are
provided by the local school districts, adult education programs, community
colleges and state initiative programs. Career and Technical Education
programs are available at the high school level, as well as Technical Education
Programs at the community colleges. Customized training is provided by
the colleges (under contractual agreements with the Northeast Michigan
Consortium).Customized training provides programs tailored to the specific
business or industry needs. One of the issues noted in Northeast Michigan,
is that many of the employers are very small, and these
training options are not available to
train for just a few employees. See the Career Development System section
for more details on education and training .
Technology [See Appendix
B for supporting data]
Nationwide, 95 percent of American public
schools have internet access.However, 61 percent of teachers in elementary
or secondary schools identified themselves as “somewhat or not at all prepared”
to integrate this technology into the classroom. Access to the World Wide
Web is widely available throughout the Region and is available in most
if not allof the 17 K-12 school districts, and in all of the ISDs and community
colleges. Internet access is also available through the public libraries
in the region. High speed internet service and digital transmission capabilities
are limited in Northeast Michigan. Fiber optic transmission lines are only
available on a very limited basis, see Fiber Optic map. The lack of this
technological infrastructure is impacting the ability of the region to
attract new business and industry. By 2006, nearly half of all workers
in the U.S. will be employed in industries that produce or intensively
use information technology products or services according to U.S. Department
of Commerce projections.
An interactive network of distance learning
facilities exists in the Alpena, Montmorency, Alcona Educational Service
District (AMA-ESD), with facilities located at each of the high schools
within the ESD.Distance learning opportunities are being expanded at the
community colleges. The Michigan Community College Virtual Learning
College offered 119 course sections from 17 community colleges with a total
fall 1999
enrollment of 1,846.The Michigan Virtual
University (MVU) also provides distance learning opportunities throughout
the Region (and State). However, as noted above, lack of an adequate technology
infrastructure limits access to these information rich resources.
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